El Niño Threat Grows as Forecast Odds Jump to 82%

El Niño Threat Grows as Forecast Odds Jump to 82%

The probability of an El Niño event developing has surged to 82%, according to NOAA, with forecasts suggesting it could persist into early 2027. Scientists warn that a strong El Niño could intensify global climate impacts, bringing droughts, floods, heatwaves, and agricultural disruptions across many regions, including Africa.