Coastal Counties First in Line as El Niño Rains Start
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Coastal Counties First in Line as El Niño Rains Start

Kenya’s coastal counties are expected to be the first to experience heavy rainfall linked to a strengthening El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi, Lamu and the Tana Delta are already receiving significant rains, raising concerns over flash floods, displacement, crop damage and transport disruptions as rainfall spreads inland.
World Records Hottest Month as El Niño Threat Grows
Posted inEl Niño Watch

World Records Hottest Month as El Niño Threat Grows

August 2026 was the world’s warmest month on record, extending an exceptional period of global heat as a strengthening El Niño raises the risk of disruptive weather into 2027. Global temperatures reached about 1.65°C above pre-industrial levels, while record warmth was recorded across large parts of Africa and other regions
Kenya Red Cross warns 46 Counties face El Niño Flood Risk
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Kenya Red Cross warns 46 Counties face El Niño Flood Risk

The Kenya Red Cross Society has warned that 46 of Kenya’s 47 counties face the risk of above-average rainfall during the upcoming October–December short-rains season, raising fears of widespread flooding. The agency is calling for urgent action to improve drainage, strengthen early-warning systems, prepare evacuation plans and prevent further development along known flood paths.
Kenya Activates Emergency Measures as El Niño Risk Rises Above 90 Per Cent
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Kenya Activates Emergency Measures as El Niño Risk Rises Above 90 Per Cent

Kenya has activated emergency preparedness measures as the likelihood of a strong El Niño event during the October–December short rains rises above 90 per cent. With 18 counties facing heightened risks, authorities are strengthening drainage systems, preparing evacuation centres and placing emergency teams on standby to reduce deaths, displacement and damage.
Faith Groups Urged to Prepare Shelters Ahead of Anticipated El Niño
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Faith Groups Urged to Prepare Shelters Ahead of Anticipated El Niño

Faith leaders in Kenya are being urged to prepare emergency shelters and dedicated response funds ahead of the anticipated October–December rains, with informal settlements and people with disabilities identified as particularly vulnerable to flooding. The call follows lessons from the devastating 2024 floods and highlights the role of churches, mosques, temples and other faith institutions in protecting displaced communities.
Horn Of Africa Steps Up Displacement Forecasts As El Niño Raises Flood Risk
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Horn Of Africa Steps Up Displacement Forecasts As El Niño Raises Flood Risk

As El Niño raises the risk of extreme rainfall across the Greater Horn of Africa, ICPAC is strengthening efforts to forecast where climate disasters could force people from their homes. By combining climate forecasts with data on poverty, livelihoods and past displacement, the initiative aims to help governments and humanitarian agencies act before communities are forced to flee.
East Africa Told to Prepare for Climate Shocks Beyond El Niño
Posted inEl Niño Watch

East Africa Told to Prepare for Climate Shocks Beyond El Niño

East African governments are being urged to look beyond the immediate threat of El Niño and build permanent defences against increasingly severe climate shocks. VI Agroforestry says the region needs stronger early-warning systems, resilient infrastructure, sustainable farming, watershed restoration and locally led adaptation to reduce the risks of floods, landslides, drought and displacement.