Coastal Counties First in Line as El Niño Rains Start

Coastal Counties First in Line as El Niño Rains Start

Kenya’s coastal counties are expected to be the first to experience heavy rainfall linked to a strengthening El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi, Lamu and the Tana Delta are already receiving significant rains, raising concerns over flash floods, displacement, crop damage and transport disruptions as rainfall spreads inland.
Kenya Red Cross warns 46 Counties face El Niño Flood Risk

Kenya Red Cross warns 46 Counties face El Niño Flood Risk

The Kenya Red Cross Society has warned that 46 of Kenya’s 47 counties face the risk of above-average rainfall during the upcoming October–December short-rains season, raising fears of widespread flooding. The agency is calling for urgent action to improve drainage, strengthen early-warning systems, prepare evacuation plans and prevent further development along known flood paths.
Lake Bogoria Overflow Threatens Baringo’s Freshwater Ecosystem

Lake Bogoria Overflow Threatens Baringo’s Freshwater Ecosystem

Rising water levels in Kenya’s Rift Valley are raising fears that saline Lake Bogoria could eventually overflow into freshwater Lake Baringo, threatening fish, aquatic ecosystems and the livelihoods of communities that depend on the lake. Scientists warn that changes in water chemistry could have far-reaching consequences for biodiversity, fisheries and food security.
Horn Of Africa Steps Up Displacement Forecasts As El Niño Raises Flood Risk

Horn Of Africa Steps Up Displacement Forecasts As El Niño Raises Flood Risk

As El Niño raises the risk of extreme rainfall across the Greater Horn of Africa, ICPAC is strengthening efforts to forecast where climate disasters could force people from their homes. By combining climate forecasts with data on poverty, livelihoods and past displacement, the initiative aims to help governments and humanitarian agencies act before communities are forced to flee.
Climate Money Risks Deepening Africa’s Soil and Biodiversity Crisis – Report

Climate Money Risks Deepening Africa’s Soil and Biodiversity Crisis – Report

Climate finance could unintentionally reinforce the input-intensive agricultural model linked to soil degradation, declining crop diversity and land expansion in Africa, a new AFSA report warns. The report calls for climate funding to prioritise diversified, low-input and agroecological farming systems that strengthen resilience to drought, erratic rainfall and rising input costs.
East Africa Told to Prepare for Climate Shocks Beyond El Niño

East Africa Told to Prepare for Climate Shocks Beyond El Niño

East African governments are being urged to look beyond the immediate threat of El Niño and build permanent defences against increasingly severe climate shocks. VI Agroforestry says the region needs stronger early-warning systems, resilient infrastructure, sustainable farming, watershed restoration and locally led adaptation to reduce the risks of floods, landslides, drought and displacement.
Africa Braces for El Niño as Drought and Flood Risks Threaten Food Security

Africa Braces for El Niño as Drought and Flood Risks Threaten Food Security

Africa is bracing for worsening food-security pressures as a strengthening El Niño raises the risk of drought in Southern Africa and heavier-than-normal rainfall in East Africa. With more than 306 million Africans undernourished in 2024, experts are urging governments and farmers to strengthen water harvesting, soil conservation, flood protection and climate-resilient farming before the October–December rains.